JUNE 2024:
An America Unhoused By A Bubble Burst…
The Big Short, directed by Adam McKay and co-written by McKay and Charles Randolph, is a biographical crime comedy-drama film that delves into the complexities and absurdities leading up to the 2007-08 financial crisis. Based on Michael Lewis‘s 2010 book The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine, the film provides an incisive look at how the U.S. housing bubble burst, triggering a global economic meltdown. Starring Christian Bale, Steve Carell, Ryan Gosling, and Brad Pitt, along with a strong supporting cast, The Big Short stands out for its engaging narrative, sharp wit, and effective use of non-traditional storytelling techniques.
Explanation of the 2007-08 Financial Crisis
The United States Housing Bubble
The U.S. housing bubble was a major factor in the financial crisis. In the early 2000s, housing prices soared due to low interest rates, loose lending practices, and a speculative frenzy. Banks and mortgage lenders issued subprime mortgages to borrowers with poor credit histories, often without adequate income verification or down payments. These risky loans were bundled into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and sold to investors, creating a highly leveraged and fragile financial system. Increased foreclosure rates in 2006–2007 among U.S. homeowners led to a crisis in August 2008 for the subprime, Alt-A, collateralized debt obligation (CDO), mortgage, credit, hedge fund, and foreign bank markets.
The Financial Crisis Unfolds
When housing prices began to decline in 2006, the weaknesses in the financial system were exposed. Borrowers defaulted on their loans, causing MBS values to plummet. This led to massive losses for financial institutions holding these securities. The crisis reached its peak in 2008 with the collapse of major investment banks like Lehman Brothers, a severe credit crunch, and a global recession. A continuous buildup of toxic assets in the form of subprime mortgages purchased by Lehman Brothers ultimately led to the firm’s bankruptcy in September 2008. The collapse of Lehman Brothers is often cited as both the culmination of the subprime mortgage crisis, and the catalyst for the Great Recession in the United States.
A bubble had the potential to affect not only on home valuations, but also mortgage markets, home builders, real estate, home supply retail outlets, Wall Street hedge funds held by large institutional investors, and foreign banks, increasing the risk of a nationwide recession. Concerns about the impact of the collapsing housing and credit markets on the larger U.S. economy caused President George W. Bush and the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke to announce a limited bailout of the U.S. housing market for homeowners who were unable to pay their mortgage debts.
Key Players in the Film
Scion Capital
Scion Capital, led by Dr. Michael Burry (played by Christian Bale), is a key player in The Big Short. Burry, an eccentric hedge fund manager, was one of the first to identify the housing bubble and predict its collapse back in 2005. He took the unconventional step of betting against (shorting) the housing market by purchasing credit default swaps (CDS) on mortgage-backed securities, believing that their value would drop anticiapting the market’s collapse in the second quarter of 2007, while also making a profit for Scion Capitol.
His long-term bet, worth an exceeding $1 billion, is accepted by the major investment and commercial banks but would require paying a substantial monthly premium on those investments. This sparks his main client, named Lawrence Fields (Tracy Letts) in the film, a fictional composite of Joel Greenblatt, to accuse him of “wasting” capital while many clients are demanding that he reverse and sell the investments, buy Burry refuses. Under pressure, Burry eventually restricts withdrawals, which angers his investors, and Fields sues Burry. The market eventually collapses a few years later and Burry’s funds value increases by 489% with an overall profit, while also allowing for the massive premiums, of over $2.69 billion, with Fields alone recieving $489 million.
FrontPoint Partners
FrontPoint Partners, represented by Mark Baum (Steve Carell), also plays a crucial role. Baum, based on real-life hedge fund manager Steve Eisman, becomes convinced of the impending collapse of the housing market. Along with his team, he investigates the fraudulent practices in the mortgage industry and decides to short the housing market. Baum is alerted to then eventual collapse by misplaced phone alerts to FrontPoint Partners through Jared Vennett (Ryan Gosling), and based on Greg Lippmann, who was the executive in charge of global asset-backing securities trading at Deutsche Bank, and was one of the first bankers to understand Burry’s analysis, learning from one of the bankers who sold Burry an early credit default swap. Using quantitive analysis to verify that Burry is correct in his anaysis prediction, Vennett decides to enter the market and purchase credit default swaps himself. But as a result, Vennett looks to reduce the size of his position by selling credit default swaps as a result of his large monthly premiums. Baum becomes motivated to buy the swaps from Vennett due to his low regard for banks’ ethics and business models. Vennett explains to Baum that the packaging of subprime loans into collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) rated AAA will guarantee thier evential collapse.
FrontPoint Partners begins a field investigation in South Florida, and the team discovers that mortgage brokers are profiting by selling their mortgage deals to banks on Wall Street, which pay higher margins for the risker mortgages, which in turn creates the bubble. Knowing this, FrontPoint Partners is prompted to buy the swaps from Vennett.
The loans begin to default in early 2007, but CDO prices somehow rise and ratings agencies refuse to downgrade the bond ratings. With some more investigation, Baum discovers that there are conflicts of interest and dishonesty amongst the agencies that are rating the credit through an acquaintance at Standard & Poor’s. At this time Vennett has also invited the FrontPoint Partners to the American Securitization Forum in Las Vegas, Baum in turn learns from a CDO manager there that that market for insuring mortgage bonds, which includes “synthetic CDOs” that bets in favor of the faulty mortgage bonds, is significantly larger than the market the laons are themselves drawn from, leading Baum to realize the entire world economy is on a road to collapse as Burry had predicted two years earlier.
As the subprime bonds continue to fall, Baum learns that Morgan Stanley, the bank whose umbrella FrontPoint operates, had also taken a short position against its mortgage derivatives. With them also collapsing in value, Morgan Stanley faces a liquity problem. Even though the team insists on selling their position beofre Morgan Stanley collapses, Baum refuses to sell until the economy is on the verge of collapsing, which would make them FrontPoint Partners over $ 1 billion in swaps revenue. But Buam insists the banks will never get blamed for the collapse, that the government will protect them and just blame it on “Immigrants and poor people.”
Brownfield Fund
The Brownfield Fund, based on Cornwall Capital, led by Charlie Geller (John Magaro) and Jamie Shipley (Finn Wittrock), represents the smaller investors who saw the looming crisis. They manage to enter the big leagues with the help of Ben Rickert (Brad Pitt), a retired banker. Their journey highlights the reckless behavior of larger financial institutions and their role in the crisis.
Geller and Shipley accidentally discover Vennett’s plan to invest in swaps and are convinced to do the same as it fits with their strategy of buying cheap insurance with big potential payouts. Since their capitol is below the threshold for an ISDA Master Agreement required to enter into trades like that of Burry and Baum, they enlist Rickert to help them with his experence as a securities trader. Geller begins to suspect the banks of committing fraud when the bond values and CDOs rise despite the defaults. The trio also end up at the Las Vegas American Securitization Forum, where they learn that the SEC has no regulations that monitior mortgage-backed security activity. They in turn end up making more of a profit then Burry or Baum, by shorting the higher-rated AA mortgage securities, due to them being considered highly stable and carried a much higher payout ratio.
Later, as home mortgage defaults increase, the price of the CDOs does not rise nor does the price of the underlying mortgage bonds drop, and Geller and Shipley realize the banks and the ratings agencies are secretly freezing the price of their CDOs in order to sell and short them before the inevitable crash. Outraged at the bank’s cheating, Geller and Shipley try to tip off the press about the upcoming disaster and the rampant fraud, but a writer from The Wall Street Journal reveals his own personal conflict of interest and will not do his job so as to not endanger his relationships with the Wall Street investment banks. As the market starts collapsing, Ben, on vacation in England, sells their swaps. Ultimately, they turn their $30 million investment into $80 million, but their faith in the system is broken when Ben tells them of the severe consequences for the general public.
Narrative and Direction
Innovative Storytelling Techniques
Adam McKay employs a range of innovative storytelling techniques to make the complex financial concepts accessible and engaging for the audience. These include breaking the fourth wall, celebrity cameos explaining financial jargon, and a fast-paced, almost frenetic editing style. The film features cameo appearances by actress Margot Robbie, the late chef Anthony Bourdain, singer-songwriter Selena Gomez, economist Richard Thaler, and others who break the fourth wall to explain concepts such as subprime mortgages and synthetic collateralized debt obligations. Several of the film’s characters directly address the audience, most frequently Gosling’s, who serves as the narrator. The real Michael Burry made a cameo in the film as a Scion employee. At the beginning of the scene in which the fictional Burry’s investors confront him at his office, he is briefly shown standing near the front door, talking on the phone. These techniques not only demystify the intricacies of the financial world but also add a layer of entertainment and irony to the film.
Performances
The ensemble cast delivers outstanding performances, each bringing depth and nuance to their characters. Christian Bale’s portrayal of Michael Burry is particularly noteworthy, capturing the eccentricity and determination of the hedge fund manager. Steve Carell’s Mark Baum is a driven and morally conflicted character, providing a human perspective on the crisis. Ryan Gosling’s Jared Vennett, a slick and opportunistic banker, adds a layer of cynicism and wit to the narrative. Brad Pitt’s Ben Rickert offers a grounded, almost prophetic view of the impending disaster.
Themes and Messages
Greed and Corruption
The Big Short exposes the greed and corruption that pervaded the financial industry. The film illustrates how major banks, driven by profit, engaged in reckless lending practices and fraudulent activities, ultimately leading to the collapse of the housing market.
The Human Cost
While the film focuses on the financial mechanisms behind the crisis, it also highlights the human cost. The collapse of the housing market led to millions of people losing their homes and jobs, emphasizing the devastating impact of the financial industry’s irresponsibility on ordinary lives.
Inevitability of Collapse
Through its characters, The Big Short conveys a sense of the inevitable collapse of the housing market. Despite warnings and clear signs, the system’s flaws were ignored or denied by those in power, leading to an avoidable catastrophe.
Awards and Accolades
The Big Short received critical acclaim and numerous awards and nominations. It was nominated for five Academy Awards, including one for Best Picture, and the film won the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay. The film also won the BAFTA Award for Best Adapted Screenplay and received nominations for Best Director, Best Supporting Actor (Christian Bale), and Best Editing. Christian Bale won the Critics’ Choice Movie Award for Best Actor in a Comedy, and the film took home the Critcs’ Choice Movie Award for Best Comedy. Additionally, it was nominated for four Golden Globe Awards, including Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy, Best Actor (Christian Bale and Steve Carell), and Best Screenplay.
The Big Short is a masterful film that skillfully combines humor, drama, and a scathing critique of the financial system. Adam McKay’s direction, combined with strong performances and innovative storytelling techniques, makes the film both entertaining and enlightening. By demystifying the complexities of the financial crisis and highlighting the human cost of corporate greed, The Big Short serves as a powerful reminder of the consequences of unchecked capitalism.
The Big Short is avaialble now on Hulu…
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